Xavier Becerra wants to be the first Latino governor of California in more than 150 years. He is running on biography, on representation, on the idea that a son of Mexican immigrants who climbed from a one-room apartment to the Biden Cabinet is uniquely positioned to fight for working Latino families against corporate exploitation and Republican villainy.
It is a powerful pitch. It also raises an uncomfortable question for the voters he is courting most aggressively: when Latino families in his own backyard were being systematically separated from their savings by a multi-level marketing operation headquartered in his congressional district, whose side did Xavier Becerra take?
The answer is on the public record, and it is not the side his campaign website would have you believe.
- Herbalife, a multi-level marketing nutrition company long accused of operating a pyramid scheme, derives roughly 65 percent of its U.S. sales from Latino consumers and was found by the FTC in 2016 to have misled hundreds of thousands of distributors with deceptive earnings claims.
- Herbalife relocated its headquarters to Becerra’s Los Angeles congressional district in 2008 and quickly became one of his largest political donors, with the company’s PAC and employees giving more than $20,000 in the 2011-2012 cycle alone, making Herbalife his third-largest contributor.
- No federal candidate received more from Herbalife in the 2012 cycle than Becerra; only the Republican National Committee received a larger share of the company’s political giving that year.
- When fellow Democrats in the Congressional Hispanic Caucus moved to sign a letter urging the FTC to investigate Herbalife, Becerra blocked it, telling colleagues to wait until “all the facts” were in.
- The FTC ultimately fined Herbalife $200 million, ordered roughly 350,000 distributors compensated for their losses, and forced the company to restructure its compensation system top to bottom.
- Becerra’s pattern of standing with the donor over the constituent has continued, including a recent Politico report that close aides allegedly siphoned $225,000 from his campaign accounts over two years without his knowledge.
- Becerra is now asking Latino voters to entrust him with the governorship of the largest Latino-majority state in the country.
The Company at the Center of the Story
Herbalife sells protein shakes, nutrition supplements, and weight-loss products. It does not sell them in stores. It sells them through a network of “distributors” who buy product, recruit other distributors, and earn commissions on the chain of sellers below them. Hedge fund manager Bill Ackman famously called it a pyramid scheme in 2012 and bet a billion dollars that it would collapse. He spent more than $50 million publicizing the case against the company.
The accusation that drew the most blood was demographic. Herbalife had aggressively targeted Latino communities, sponsoring telenovelas, signing on Latino political figures, and recruiting in working-class neighborhoods where the promise of “be your own boss” landed hardest. By the early 2010s, roughly 65 percent of Herbalife’s U.S. sales were to Latino consumers. Latino civic groups began collecting horror stories of distributors who lost their savings, drained their retirement accounts, and ended up with garages full of unsold shakes.
The FTC eventually agreed something was deeply wrong. In a 2016 settlement, the agency ordered Herbalife to pay $200 million to defrauded distributors, restructure its compensation model from top to bottom, and stop rewarding distributors for recruitment over actual retail sales. Roughly 350,000 people received refund checks.
The FTC’s complaint documented that half of Herbalife’s “sales leaders” earned less than five dollars a month on average. The agency’s chairwoman pointedly declined to call Herbalife “not a pyramid scheme,” telling reporters her focus was not on labels but on the deceptive practices themselves.
The Money
Herbalife moved its corporate headquarters into Becerra’s Los Angeles congressional district in 2008. The political relationship that followed was not subtle.
According to OpenSecrets data, Herbalife’s PAC and employees combined to give Becerra more than $20,000 during the 2011-2012 election cycle, making the company his third-largest contributor. No other federal candidate received more from Herbalife that cycle. Only the Republican National Committee took a larger share of the company’s political giving than Becerra did. Herbalife’s PAC also contributed to Becerra in 2010 and 2014, and made its first-ever donation to the Congressional Hispanic Caucus’s BOLD PAC in 2013, the same year lobbyists hired by Ackman were trying to get CHC members to demand an FTC investigation.
This is the pattern political journalists describe as a member becoming a company’s “friend” in Washington. Becerra was, by any reasonable definition, Herbalife’s friend.
The Cover
The most consequential thing Becerra did for Herbalife was not vote on a bill or sponsor legislation. It was the quiet act of running interference inside his own caucus.
By late 2013 and early 2014, Rep. Linda Sanchez of California was circulating a letter asking the FTC to investigate Herbalife. Lobbyists working for Pershing Square were courting signatures from members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, the very members whose constituents made up the bulk of Herbalife’s customer base. According to reporting at the time by OpenSecrets and Politico, Becerra urged his CHC colleagues not to sign on, asking them not to rush to conclusions until all the facts were known.
The facts, of course, were already known to anyone who cared to look. Latino civic organizations had been documenting them for years. Local journalists in Boyle Heights had been documenting them. The League of United Latin American Citizens had been documenting them. Massachusetts Sen. Ed Markey had received complaints from constituents who lost their entire 401(k)s. The Congressional Hispanic Caucus did not need to wait for more facts. It needed a chairman who was not on Herbalife’s donor list.
The Verdict, and the Vindication of His Critics
Two years after Becerra cooled the CHC’s appetite for an investigation, the FTC delivered its $200 million verdict. The agency confirmed almost everything the Latino civic groups had been saying. The compensation structure that Becerra had asked his colleagues not to second-guess was the exact compensation structure the federal government ordered Herbalife to dismantle.
Three hundred fifty thousand refund checks went out. Many of the recipients were the very Latino constituents Becerra now asks to make him governor.
It is worth pausing on the moral arithmetic. The choice in front of Becerra in 2013 was not between two close calls. It was between a billionaire’s lobbying campaign on one side and a documented pattern of harm to working Latino families on the other. Becerra chose the side that was writing him checks.
The Pattern Keeps Repeating
The Herbalife episode might be defensible as a one-time misjudgment if it stood alone. It does not. Politico reported in November 2025 that Becerra’s longtime chief of staff and other close aides allegedly siphoned $225,000 from his campaign accounts over a two-year period. Becerra was not personally accused of wrongdoing, but federal investigators reportedly approached him before he noticed the money was gone. Earlier in 2024, reporting surfaced that he was paying $10,000 a month for “campaign reporting” out of a dormant state account, an arrangement campaign finance experts described as extraordinarily expensive for what it purportedly produced.
His record at Health and Human Services compounds the picture. White House officials, on background, described him as absent during the COVID response. His agency’s handling of the 2022 mpox outbreak drew sharp criticism. Tens of thousands of unaccompanied migrant children were placed in homes that HHS subsequently lost track of, with some later identified as trafficking victims. Becerra’s defenders argue he was given an unclear portfolio. His critics argue that a man who could not keep track of children he was responsible for, or money flowing out of his own campaign, is not the man California needs running a $300 billion state government.
What This Reveals About How He Will Govern
Politicians often ask voters to judge them on their best speeches. Voters are usually wiser to judge them on their hardest tests. The Herbalife episode was a hard test, and Becerra failed it in the direction the donor wanted him to fail it.
He had every reason to know what was happening. The company was in his district. The victims were in his district. The civic organizations sounding the alarm were organizations he had every other reason to listen to. He chose the donor anyway, and he used his position of trust within the Congressional Hispanic Caucus to make sure other members did not break ranks.
Isaiah warned of leaders of exactly this kind. Thy princes are rebellious, and companions of thieves: every one loveth gifts, and followeth after rewards: they judge not the fatherless, neither doth the cause of the widow come unto them. The verse is uncomfortably specific. Princes who love gifts. Princes who follow rewards. Princes who do not take up the cause of those who actually need defending.
California Latino voters are being told that Xavier Becerra is the candidate who will fight for them in the governor’s mansion. The most relevant data point in evaluating that claim is what he did the last time fighting for them required pushing back against someone writing him a check. He did not push back. He ran interference for the check writer. The voters he is asking to trust him already received the Becerra treatment once. They should think hard before signing up for it again.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
