(End of the American Dream)—That certainly didn’t take long. Earlier this week we were being told that President Trump wanted to give diplomacy another try so there wouldn’t be any fighting with Iran for a while. Well, now Trump has suddenly told the world that we “don’t need a deal with Iran”, and there are reports of military action in the Middle East.
Let’s watch what happens next very closely, because if Israel gets involved in the fighting events could spiral out of control very rapidly.
The Express stunned everyone a little while ago when it reported that “US warships in the Middle East have been targeted by Iranian cruise missiles”…
US warships in the Middle East have been targeted by Iranian cruise missiles, according to unverified reports. Pro-Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps media claims 10 anti-ship missiles have been fired towards American ships in the Gulf of Oman.
This is a major bombshell if it is true.
So far I have not been able to find any other major news outlets that are confirming this.
There have also been reports of loud explosions in the Iranian city of Sirik…
There are also unconfirmed reports of explosions in the city of Sirik, western Iran. It’s claimed the anti-ship missiles were fired from the Bandar Abbas area in the south of the country.
These explosions are being confirmed by Iran.
According to an Iranian news source, the explosions were caused by an enemy attack…
Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency reported Thursday, citing official sources, that Sirik in the southern province of Hormozgan had been struck in what it described as an enemy attack.
The report said the strike was military in nature but provided no further details about the target, damage or casualties.
In my opinion, U.S. airstrikes are the most likely explanation by a wide margin.
But which came first?
Did Iran attack U.S. warships first, or did the U.S. attack targets in Sirik first?
As I write this, we simply do not know.
Earlier today, the price of oil spiked after Trump suddenly announced that we “don’t need a deal with Iran”…
Trump has been seeking a deal with Iran for months.
JD Vance was supposedly going to head to the Middle East for new talks.
So what changed?
Why the dramatic shift in tone?
Well, there are rumors that Iran has told Qatar that there will be absolutely no negotiations over the Iranian nuclear program…
If these rumors are accurate, that would definitely explain why Trump has changed his messaging.
In addition, Iran’s Assembly of Experts has apparently decided that now is the time for Iran to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty…
If Iran formally does this, it would be a very clear sign that the Iranians intend to openly develop nuclear weapons.
Needless to say, the Trump administration would not allow that, and neither would Israel.
Of course there was never going to be any sort of a permanent deal with Iran.
Perhaps Trump is beginning to realize this, because all of a sudden U.S. officials are quietly telling Israel to get ready for military action…
The American military has reportedly warned Israel to prepare for a resumption of the war in Iran. The reports come just days after Donald Trump said renewed attacks on Iran were “highly unlikely”.
Local reports in Israel claim US Central Command has told Israel Defence Forces (IDF) personnel in the US to get ready for the possibility of renewed fighting. Itay Blumental, military correspondent for broadcaster Kan 11, quoted a source as saying: “The messages being conveyed through the security channel to Israel—and also to Gulf states—are that they should prepare for the possibility of renewed war in Iran soon.”
All of Iran’s nuclear facilities, including Pickaxe Mountain, would likely be targeted during a new bombing campaign.
In addition, Trump has threatened to hit Iran’s power grid and oil producing infrastructure…
“If there is no deal we are going to hit each and every one of their electric generating plants very hard and probably simultaneously!”
“We have not hit their oil, even though that’s the easiest target of all, because it would not give them even a small chance of survival or rebuilding.”
“But we could hit it and it would be gone and there’s not a thing they could do about it.”
“They have no anti-aircraft equipment. Their radar is 100% annihilated. We are unstoppable as a military force.”
Needless to say, the Iranians would strike back extremely hard.
On Thursday, Mohzen Rezaei ominously warned that Iranian forces have “new surprises” prepared for the United States and Israel…
“The missile industry of the Islamic Republic of Iran stands as a proud symbol of faith, courage, initiative, and jihadi management,” he said in comments carried by Iran’s semiofficial Tasnim News Agency.
“It has evolved into one of Iran’s most vital instruments of deterrence and a steadfast pillar in safeguarding the independence and security of our beloved Iran.”
“Today, the IRGC Aerospace Force has made the wise directives and strategies of the Commander-in-Chief (of the Armed Forces) the guiding principle of its operations,” Rezaei added.
“The force stands firmly prepared for self-sacrifice and the creation of new surprises on the battlefield against the American-Zionist enemy,” Rezaei said.
Could some of those “new surprises” include the use of unconventional weapons?
The previous day, he suggested that this time around Iran could start hitting U.S. bases that are located in Europe…
On Wednesday, a senior Iranian official threatened strikes on US bases in Europe if America was to launch new strikes against Iran. Iranian Security Council secretary Mohsen Rezae warned any base which American aircraft take off from are at risk of being targeted.
“If the Americans make a mistake and attack us, we will not limit ourselves to nearby bases,” he reportedly said. “We may even target some American military bases in European countries.”
Can you imagine the panic that we would witness if Iranian ballistic missiles begin landing in Western Europe?
There would be no turning back after that.
There would also be no turning back if the Iranians successfully attack the Dimona nuclear reactor in Israel.
Unfortunately, there are many potential scenarios that could cause this war to go completely sideways.
All it will take is one really stupid move.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
