(The Epoch Times)—Midterm elections are often a problem for the party in the White House.
For the GOP in 2026—a party reliant on a base animated by President Donald Trump—the absence of the name “Trump” from ballots could make retaining the House and Senate even harder.
Republicans hope to overcome those obstacles with the help of a midterm convention in Dallas on Sept. 9 and 10. While Democrats held several midterm gatherings during the 1970s and 1980s, the event marks the first such convention on the GOP side.
Previews from the Republican National Committee (RNC) promise 109 talks and speakers, including discussions of tax and healthcare reform under Republican leadership, showcases of key candidates, and a program honoring the late Charlie Kirk on the anniversary of his assassination.
Trump will deliver the keynote address on the first night and closing remarks on the second. Vice President JD Vance will deliver the keynote address on the second night.
Trump administration officials are set to dominate the other keynotes. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Attorney General Todd Blanche, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will be among those top attractions, as will former White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt and the president’s eldest son, Donald Trump, Jr.
Republican leaders in the House and Senate—not including Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.)—are slated to address the convention, too. So are various elected officials and candidates, including those running in competitive districts.
The big names include Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), Georgia Senate hopeful Rep. Mike Collins (R-Ga.), Rep. Mike Lawler (R-N.Y.), Rep. Derrick Van Orden (R-Wisc.), and Michigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers, among many others.
While some Republican lawmakers plan to attend, others will miss the event.
Rep. Ralph Norman (R-S.C.), who just lost a special Senate primary to Trump-backed Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.), told reporters he did not plan to go, saying, “I’ve been campaigning for a year and a half.”
The gathering comes amid internal debates among Republicans and conservatives over the Iran War, data centers, and other important issues. Those divisions, alongside relatively strong polling for Democrats and low approval ratings for Trump, could spell trouble for the party in November.
“We believe Republicans are walking into a bloodbath because they are taking so many Republican constituencies, like gun owners, for granted,” Chris McNutt, the president of Texas Gun Rights, told The Epoch Times.
At least one concurrent gathering nearby—FORUM’s “Beyond the Midterms: The American Future”—will reckon with the internal divisions while also seeking to rally GOP voters.
Matthew Peterson, the founder of FORUM, told The Epoch Times that the GOP midterm convention was “a fantastic idea,” reflecting Trump’s political genius.
“That being said, the reason for having an off-site alongside it is that one thing that needs to happen is these coalitions that are fighting need to come together,” the former editor-in-chief of Blaze Media said of his event, which will include a debate over artificial intelligence regulations and data centers between venture capitalist Joe Lonsdale and AI skeptic Joe Allen.
Other insiders who spoke with The Epoch Times see a mixture of opportunities and threats for the GOP as it aims to defy historic midterm trends, starting with an unprecedented rally.
Justin Nichols, a member of the Texas State Republican Executive Committee, told The Epoch Times he thinks the event could be “a reminder of what we’re fighting for, and that many of the disagreements and petty quarrels and squabbles are just that.”
Steve Adler, the former mayor of Austin, Texas, told The Epoch Times that the scope of what the convention achieves will ultimately be judged based on what unfolds afterwards.
“Success looks like something durable: volunteer sign-ups, voter registration, sustained energy in the districts and counties that decide close races,” said Adler, who led the city as a Democrat. “Failure looks like a two-day sugar high with big applause in the arena, no movement in the precincts.”
Republicans Prepare to Rally
During the week ahead of the convention, some Republicans in Congress signaled they would attend.
Reps. Aaron Bean (R-Fla.) and Pete Sessions (R-Texas) told The Epoch Times they would be there, with Sessions indicating he would not be among the speakers. The politician, who is a white male, said the Republican Party wanted to highlight female and Hispanic politicians.
Others, like Norman, revealed that they had different plans.
Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), who has clashed with Trump on foreign policy and other issues, told The Epoch Times he will be in Ukraine during the convention.
Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.) voiced concern about the price of admission for members of Congress like him, telling reporters he was informed that his campaign committee would have to pay $25,000.
A spokesman for Burchett confirmed via email that the congressman will not attend the convention.
In an email to The Epoch Times, the RNC did not address how much, if anything, lawmakers would need to spend to participate in the Dallas convention.
Adler was critical of the reported ask.
“Parties used to invest in their candidates. Charging them $25,000 for a seat in the very cycle they need every dollar is a questionable theory of how you win a midterm,” he said.
Political commentator Dave Spencer told The Epoch Times that charging Republican lawmakers to enter the convention is “a dreadful idea.”
“Corporate sponsors can help pay for the event, and Trump has plenty of money in his campaign war chest,” he added.
On Sept. 4, Trump told reporters that his Super PAC, MAGA Inc., was preparing to spend up to roughly $500 million in the midterms, half of the $1 billion he said it has amassed.
Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.), who is running for reelection in a competitive district, told The Epoch Times he would be in Dallas but not necessarily for the convention.
“We’ve got constituents [who] are going to be down there. I’ve got people that want to do events for me down there,” he said. His district has been named on a target list drafted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
During his Sept. 3 briefing with reporters, Vance said that some expected absences were not a big deal.
“We don’t need a congressman in a tight race to be there in all cases,” he said.
The Dallas rally will likely shine a spotlight on one key candidate in the Lone Star State—Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton who is hoping to defeat Democratic candidate Texas state Rep. James Talarico after ousting incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) in the GOP primary.
Polling reviewed by The Epoch Times suggests the race is tight. Many surveys put Talarico in the lead.
Gregg Keller, spokesman for pro-Paxton Super PAC Lone Star Liberty, told The Epoch Times that the attorney general will be “a big presence” in Dallas. He is among the candidates slated to address the gathering.
Federal elections records show that Paxton is gaining ground financially, including through support from Elon Musk’s America PAC.
Division and Unity
Spencer said a Paxton loss, if it occurs, would be due in part to attacks on the attorney general from Cornyn and his allies during the primary.
The dynamics and outcome of that primary, in which Trump ultimately endorsed Paxton after flirting with both Republican frontrunners, have reverberated through Texas and the country as a whole. The contest has also triggered new conflicts.
Cornyn, previously an ally of the president, has morphed into an occasional obstacle to the Trump agenda in the Senate.
In a highly unusual move, a former member of Cornyn’s campaign staff, Jacob Smith, jumped ship to work for Paxton’s Democratic opponent.
Texas Republican Nichols said that while he backed Cornyn during the primary, “we are way beyond that.”
“My fear is that hard feelings make heavy feet that don’t walk to the polls,” he said, stressing the need for Texas Republicans to unify behind Paxton.
McNutt, of Texas Gun Rights, said he has heard frustrations from what he described as grassroots conservatives directed at those currently in Congress, saying they have fallen short of what he sees as a pro-gun rights Trump administration.
The activist described a gap between the grassroots and the party elite on firearms, along with several other issues—in particular, the proliferation of Flock Safety cameras and the spread of data centers.
While multiple Republicans in competitive races have leveled criticisms at data centers, Trump defended them in a recent Truth Social post, writing, “The only reason that communities throughout the U.S.A. should not want data centers is if they want to end up being backwards and poor.”
The convention’s programming includes talks on trade, the border, school choice, reindustrialization, chronic disease, and many other issues central to the second Trump administration.
For now, firearm rights, public surveillance, and data centers seem to be missing.
So too with another defining feature of the second Trump administration—the ongoing Iran War, launched alongside Israel earlier this year.
While the schedule includes many speeches from administration officials and Congressional leaders, cabinet secretaries and committee chairmen charged with foreign policy and defense—including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth—are missing from the program.
Huizenga told The Epoch Times he was not sure whether convention speakers would make the case for the fight against Iran. He said he hopes to hear an explanation of what he calls deficient enforcement of sanctions against Iran under President Joe Biden—part of the conditions that some believe fueled the regime ahead of the conflict.
Nichols said he wants to hear a clear justification for the war, saying the rationale needs to be better communicated to the voters.
Trump and others in the administration have argued that the war was needed to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and potentially striking the United States. Critics of the conflict disagree, contending that the campaign is sliding into a “forever war” in order to address a risk that is more significant to Israel than the United States.
FORUM, launched earlier this year through in-person events in Washington, is one venue for Republicans in the Trump era to talk through their disagreements. Yet the Iran war will not be among its debate topics in Texas, with Peterson saying that the conflict is a significant enough issue on the right that it “deserves its own event.”
“It’s a central theme going into the midterms,” he said, adding that he also hopes to stage a debate on a related topic that has triggered differences of opinion among Republicans: Israel.
“There’s a way to actually have discussions without this kind of extreme falling into camps,” he said.
As Republicans get ready to gather in Texas, the convention’s likely impact on voters—including those beyond the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement—remains an open question.
Publicist Grayce McCormick, who has represented nonpartisan voting and elections organizations, warned that an event aimed at building enthusiasm in the base might not resonate with other important voting blocs.
“It may energize die-hard Trump supporters, but the bigger challenge is reaching independents, uncertain voters, and especially people who voted for Trump or once supported him but are reconsidering based on what they’ve experienced over the past two years,” she said of Dallas.
Peterson had a more optimistic view of the upcoming convention.
“I think we’re in a situation where people need to be reminded of the actual divide in the country, which is much deeper, of course, than the divide on the right,” he said.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
