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Think, Vote, Win

by J.B. Shurk
October 19, 2026
in Opinions, Original
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Patriotic Vote Against Polls
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  • Be Prepared: Make your emergency Med prep plan complete. Emergencies aren’t one-size-fits-all.


People often ask what they can do to support President Trump’s anti-globalist, pro-American agenda.  The most immediate answer is obvious: Vote in the coming midterms and make sure that a dozen of your friends do, as well.

It’s so easy to let victories slip away due to apathy.  Midterm elections tend to favor political parties out of power because their voters are more desperate for success.  But that does not have to be the case this year.

Although propaganda news networks continue to pretend that the Democrat Party will win every contest in a few weeks, polling data show Republican enthusiasm equal to or exceeding that of Democrats.  Enthusiastic voters win elections, so do not be surprised when polling predictions favoring Democrats this year turn out to be just as wrong as they have been in every election cycle since President Trump entered politics.

Do you remember veteran pollster Ann Selzer’s final Iowa poll before the 2024 election?  In a state that Trump had carried by ten points in 2016 and 2020, Selzer had Kamala Harris beating him by three points.  Every cable news talking head called Selzer’s Des Moines Register survey the “gold standard” of polling.  Selzer and her “golden” poll were spectacularly wrong.  The president won Iowa by thirteen points in 2024, the largest margin of victory since President Nixon won 61% of the so-called “popular vote” and 520 electoral votes to Democrat George McGovern’s 37% support and 17 electoral votes in 1972.

In other words, President Trump’s 2024 victory in Iowa was equivalent to President Nixon’s 1972 electoral landslide, and the so-called “Queen of Polling” erred by sixteen points!  Such an error would be statistically impossible for any honest pollster to make.

Polling fraud Selzer was far from the only pollster pushing crap numbers in 2024, and many of those same pollsters have been consistently wrong in their predictions every election cycle of the last couple decades.  The polling industry appears to make money, not by proving to be correct, but rather by telling lies and pretending that those lies are backed by “mathematics.”

Political pollsters have much in common with the “science” industries that have made fortunes by telling us that we would all be under ten feet of water by now from “global warming” and that the fake COVID “vaccines” are “safe and effective.”  If you still believe Dr. Fauci’s lie that COVID did not come from a Wuhan bio-lab and if you think that Greta Thunberg and Al Gore are brilliant climate scientists, then you probably believe the political pollsters who predict Democrat midterm victory — even though most of these con artists also predicted that Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris would clobber President Trump.

Remember: Every prestigious polling firm in the United States predicted that Hillary Clinton would beat Donald Trump in an electoral landslide.  The former first lady was so confident of victory that she campaigned in solidly Republican Texas in the final weeks of the 2016 campaign.



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Instead of celebrating under the Jacob Javits Center’s glass ceiling (an architectural feature that her Hollywood special effects friends were planning to “shatter” during her Election Night victory party) in New York City, Hillary ended up losing almost every battleground state, including North Carolina, Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Arizona.  She lost Texas by nine points.  So much for her coronation.

Why do the pollsters continue to push bunk polls, even after being exposed as statistical frauds?  Pollsters should be seen as one battalion in an information warfare army responsible for attacking and manipulating the minds of American voters.  They are not impartial data gurus or stodgy academics.  They are deceivers who hide their intentions behind the authoritative veneer of numbers.

Their true intentions are to get Democrats, RINOs, and other globalist-aligned puppets elected.  Multinational corporations pay pollsters for this purpose.  Universities that receive government grants pay them for this purpose.  NGOs that run on government slush funds pay them for this purpose.

Honest pollsters are rare in this day and age because real statisticians are run out of the industry.  The rest are paid either to keep their numbers secret or to manipulate those numbers before showing them to the public.  That’s why polling samples routinely include more self-described Democrats than Republicans, even when there are more “likely Republican” voters than Democrats in the polled state.

Advisor Bullion Numismatics

Polling outfits exist primarily to convince Republican voters that they are going to lose.  They are weapons in a psychological war against Republicans and nothing more.  Some people who expect to lose decide to forfeit the competition before it begins.  When you hear corporate news pundits saying that polls show certain Democrat victories, they are not giving you newsworthy information.  They are trying to increase the number of Republican voters who choose to opt out of the process.  If they can persuade a sliver of Republican voters to stay home, then Democrats can eke out victories.

Once you accept that public polls do not exist to inform but rather to influence voter behavior, it is far easier to remember that we have all the power here.  The pollsters try to hypnotize part of the public into believing that Democrat victory is inevitable.  But the voter actions that will determine the midterm outcomes remain in the future.

So long as Republican voters refuse to let information warfare specialists convince them to forfeit the match, this election is entirely up for grabs.  Control your mind and you control the outcome of the 2026 elections.

This brings me back to the beginning of this essay.  Supporters of President Trump’s pro-America agenda must vote, and they must make sure that their friends and families vote.  At an even deeper level, though, supporters of the president must get their minds right.  They must take a deep breath, look around at the pervasive digital media system that exists all around us, and accept an uncomfortable truth: We are under psychological attack at all times.

Every screen is pumping out propaganda meant to influence our behavior, and because it is often impractical to disconnect from modern technology, we must do something that is difficult: We must take control of our thoughts despite the constant attempts by outside parties to control our thoughts for us.

This is no simple task.  There’s a reason communist governments send dissidents to “re-education camps.”  Repeated political messaging combined with positive and negative reinforcement (pleasure or pain) is an effective form of psychological conditioning.  In the modern world, Western institutions use mass media to program us without having to move us from our living rooms into gulags.  That’s why television shows are called “programs.”

When you hear people repeating nonsensical messages — Build back better!  Black lives matter!  We’re operating at the speed of Science!  Diversity, inclusion, equity! — you know that they have been successfully programmed.  For verification, you can try asking the programmed people to consider an alternative point of view, and if they hiss and try to silence you, then you know that the globalist Borg has absorbed them into its collectivist hive mind.  Freethinking is impermissible once a person becomes an indistinguishable part of the globalist Borg.

If you can free your mind from mass media propaganda, however, then you can take control of your future.

The globalist political Establishment want you to forget that President Trump has successfully secured America’s borders, reduced violent crime more precipitously than any year since 1900, and returned offshored companies back to the United States.  The globalists want you to forget that Trump has destroyed inflation-inducing “climate change” regulations and set America on a path to be the world’s most dominant energy producer for centuries.

The globalists want you to believe that Obamacare, open borders, “transgender” madness, and international government are good things.

If you don’t let them program you, they lose.  Think, vote, win.






Two Storms, One Harvest

Empty Shelves

Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.

What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.

Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.

This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.

Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.

Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.

The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running

While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.

The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.

Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.

The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.

Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.

The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?

The System Has No Slack Left

The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.

Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.

There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.

The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.

What Joseph Knew

Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.

Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.

Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.

Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.

None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.

Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.

At last, a conservative news aggregator that does not bow to the woke right.

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