(End of the American Dream)—We are about to witness something extremely rare. At the same time that a historic financial storm is brewing on Wall Street as bond yields go wild, a historic weather event threatens to dump trillions of gallons of rain over the middle of the country. Meteorologists are telling us that 3 enormous storms will combine to create an absolutely colossal “hybrid storm” that will cause “considerable” flooding over large stretches of the nation.
We have never seen anything quite like this before, and it appears that this disaster will be significantly worse than the experts were originally anticipating.
The remnants of Hurricane Polo are about to merge with the remnants of Hurricane Odalys and an upper level low that will be funneling massive amounts of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico to form “a new, hybrid storm” which will be very dangerous…
A soggy, potentially dangerous week is ahead for a “huge” section of the central United States, forecasters warned, as the remnants of Hurricane Polo interact with a separate, sprawling weather system to bring days of rain and possible flooding.
“As these features combine into a new, hybrid storm, the influx of moisture spreading across the central United States will pose the risk for flash flooding,” AccuWeather meteorologist Alyssa Glenny said.
The National Weather Service explained that tropical moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Odalys and Hurricane Polo will surge over the Southwest into the central U.S. this week with several days of heavy to excessive rainfall, which may bring limited to “considerable” flooding. The threat area is “huge,” the weather service said in an online forecast.
This wasn’t supposed to happen.
But it is happening.
Even if the remnants of Hurricane Polo and Hurricane Odalys were not an issue, the upper level low which is about to move into the center of the nation “would still be a heavy rain and flood threat”…
In addition to the moisture from Polo, the other system, known as an upper-level low, or trough, will be moving into the central U.S. from the West, Marc Chenard, a meteorologist with NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center, told USA TODAY.
That low will help funnel plentiful moisture northward from the Gulf, he said. “This will produce a widespread area of heavy rainfall.”
“Even if we didn’t have Polo,” there would still be a heavy rain and flood threat in the central U.S. this week, Chenard told USA TODAY.
It is very unusual to see three major systems come together like this.
On Tuesday, flood watches were issued in 10 different states, and we are being warned that this is just the beginning…
Flood watches have been issued in ten states Tuesday morning as meteorologists warn that the widespread effects of Hurricane Polo are merging with leftover moisture from Hurricane Odalys and a dip in the natural jet stream running across the US to create one massive storm.
This ‘triple flood’ is expected to bring the heaviest rainfall to Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas on Tuesday, but the storm threat will continue throughout the entire week.
To say that the worst hit areas will get a lot of rain is a major understatement.
According to Accuweather, there are a few isolated locations that could see up to 18 inches of rainfall…
AccuWeather’s latest forecast has warned that as much as eight inches of rain could flood parts of Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas this week.
However, the weather service’s worst-case scenario noted up to 18 inches of rain could fall in isolated areas.
If you live in an area that is prone to flooding, you may want to brace for the worst.
We are being told that in some parts of New Mexico this could be “the most dangerous flash flooding risk in the last 5 years or more”…
“In some places, especially in New Mexico, this may be the most dangerous flash flooding risk in the last 5 years or more,” AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jon Porter said.
Accuweather is normally very conservative in their forecasts, and so I would take this warning very seriously.
Even if you do not live in one of the danger zones, that doesn’t mean that you won’t get rain.
In fact, Accuweather is projecting that 30 U.S. states will receive at least one inch of rain this week…
There are many parts of the nation that could desperately use some rain.
But we didn’t want to get it all at once.
Hopefully the flooding will not be quite as bad as they are currently forecasting.
There is one other thing that I wanted to mention in this article.
An extremely vast “Kelvin wave” will soon bring “an untold amount of warm water” to the west coast…
Concerns are mounting about an ocean phenomenon known as a Kelvin wave that could raise sea levels along the California coastline by up to a foot, as scientists say El Niño is supercharging the threat of storm surges and flooding in the coming months.
As an incredibly strong El Niño continues to develop in the Pacific, the phenomenon brings with it a strange shift in the ocean. The Kelvin wave phenomenon is created when trade winds that usually blow from South America towards Asia die down or reverse in El Niño years, setting off a massive, slow-moving slosh of water.
Kelvin waves are not like crashing waves at the beach. They are planetary in scale, spanning thousands of miles. And when a Kelvin wave kicks off, it brings with it an untold amount of warm water that slowly moves from the western Pacific, along the equator, towards South, Central and North America.
This “Kelvin wave” hit South America late last month, and now it is traveling north toward California…
“You can follow them along … we see the higher sea levels along the equator, and when the wave reaches the coast of South America, it cannot continue to go eastward,” Severine Fournier, a research scientist studying ocean circulation at Nasa’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said. “So it goes north and south.”
One such wave hit the northern tip of South America in late August and has begun moving up towards the west coast of the US. That wave could reach California shores within days, and when it does, ocean scientists say it may raise sea levels by up to a foot for months as El Niño lingers and keeps that warm water trapped along the coast.
Ocean levels along the west coast will rise significantly.
But that is only temporary.
Of much greater importance is what all of this warm water will mean for storms that approach the California coastline.
Normally, very cool water along the California coastline causes tropical storms and hurricanes to fizzle out as they approach.
But now conditions will be ideal for a tropical storm or a hurricane to come slamming right into the state.
The Super El Niño that is causing this to occur will be sticking around for quite a while, and so this is a story that is not going to go away any time soon.
Michael’s new book entitled “10 Prophetic Events That Are Coming Next” is available in paperback and for the Kindle on Amazon.com, and you can subscribe to his Substack newsletter at michaeltsnyder.substack.com.
Two Storms, One Harvest
Every food crisis in living memory has been a one-shock event. The 2008 price spike was a commodity bubble. The 2020 shortages were a logistics failure. The 2022 grain scare was a war on one exporter’s ports. Each time, the system bent, adjusted, and recovered, and each time the experts assured us afterward that global markets are simply too big and too diversified to fail.
What nobody in Washington seems eager to discuss is that 2026 is shaping up to be something the modern food system has never actually faced. Two independent shocks, one climatic and one geopolitical, are converging on the same harvest cycle at the same time. Not sequentially. Simultaneously.
Start with the weather. The Pacific Ocean is currently building toward what forecasters now openly call a record event. NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center puts the odds of at least a strong El Niño near 88 percent, with roughly two in three odds it reaches “very strong” status, the tier reserved for perhaps three or four events in the entire satellite era. Every major global model now projects a median peak in Super El Niño territory, and most of them project it exceeding the 2015-16 event, which until now held the modern record. Sea surface anomalies were already brushing the super threshold in mid-July, months before these events normally peak. The atmosphere has already shifted into El Niño mode, and the event is forecast to crest in late fall and early winter.
This is not about “climate change.” It’s about the standard cycles of weather, and the cycle we’re currently in is one that has likely devastated societies in the past. We’re better prepared as a society today, but not all Americans are equally prepared.
Serious households have started doing the quiet math on their own. Grocery bills tell part of the story, and the forecast maps tell the rest, which is why long-term food storage has moved from fringe hobby to mainstream line item in the family budget, with established suppliers like Heaven’s Harvest seeing demand from people who five years ago would have rolled their eyes at the idea. That instinct is not paranoia. It is pattern recognition, and the pattern is worth walking through carefully.
Editor’s Note: Heaven’s Harvest IS a sponsor, but the warnings of this article are real and would be written even if we didn’t have a survival food sponsor. With that said, those who take advantage of what they offer can use promo code “Patriot” for 15% off.
The Fertilizer Clock Is Already Running
While the Pacific warms, the second shock has been unfolding in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict with Iran turned the world’s most important energy chokepoint into a contested waterway, and the consequences reach far beyond the gas pump. Roughly a third of global fertilizer trade moves through Hormuz, and the disruption sent urea prices up 86 percent year over year by March, with a 53 percent jump in a single month.
The World Bank projects energy prices rising about 24 percent in 2026 and fertilizer about 31 percent. By its own accounting, fertilizer prices ran 35 percent higher in the first five months of this year than the same period last year.
Here is the mechanism the nightly news will not explain. Fertilizer is not a grocery item. It is a time-delayed input. The nitrogen a farmer in Iowa or Punjab could not afford to apply this spring does not show up as a problem this spring. It shows up as a thinner harvest six to twelve months later.
The World Bank’s own food security brief concedes that the effects of reduced applications earlier this season “are likely to become visible only later in harvest outcomes.” Translate that from institutional language into plain English and it means this. The damage is already done, it is already in the ground, and we are simply waiting for it to arrive on the shelf.
Now check the calendar. Six to twelve months from the spring planting season lands us squarely in late 2026 and early 2027. Which is precisely when the strongest El Niño in the instrumental record is forecast to peak, bringing its signature droughts to Southeast Asia, Australia, southern Africa, northern Brazil, and South Asia, the very regions that grow the world’s rice, sugar, and oilseeds.
The World Bank warns openly that a strong El Niño “could disrupt multiple crop belts simultaneously” on top of the conflict-driven input costs. Their baseline projection assumes the Middle East disruptions ease by autumn. What in the last two years of Middle East history suggests that assumption is safe?
The System Has No Slack Left
The comfortable answer is that global markets always adjust. But adjustment requires slack, and the slack is gone. Global cereal production is expected to decline from last year’s records even before El Niño does its work. The UN World Food Programme, hardly a den of right-wing preppers, is calling this the most significant disruption to its supply chains since Covid and the invasion of Ukraine, and its supply chain director put the stakes bluntly.
Today’s supply chain challenges are tomorrow’s hunger crisis.
There is also a political dimension that markets cannot price. When food gets scarce, governments do not behave like economists. They behave like politicians. Export bans, hoarding mandates, and panic buying at the national level turned the modest rice shortfall of 2008 into a global crisis, and analysts are already warning that import-dependent nations are the first dominoes.
The 2015-16 Super El Niño, a far weaker event than what is now forecast, threw tens of millions into food stress across Africa and Asia. This one is projected to be stronger, and it arrives with fertilizer already rationed by price and shipping lanes already contested by missiles.
What Joseph Knew
Scripture does not treat preparation for lean years as faithlessness. It treats it as wisdom delivered in advance to those willing to act on it.
Behold, there come seven years of great plenty throughout all the land of Egypt: And there shall arise after them seven years of famine; and all the plenty shall be forgotten in the land of Egypt.
Joseph did not respond to that warning with a hashtag or a committee. He stored grain during the years of abundance, and when the famine came, Egypt stood while its neighbors begged. The lesson is not that famine is certain. It is that the time to prepare is precisely when preparation still looks optional.
Nobody who filled a pantry in a year of plenty has ever regretted it, and nobody standing in an empty aisle has ever been glad he waited for certainty.
None of this calls for panic, and panic is the enemy of sound judgment anyway. It calls for the same unglamorous prudence our grandparents considered ordinary. Keep some cash margin, know your local growers, and put real food in deep storage while it is cheap and available, because the entire arc of this story is that cheap and available is a closing window.
Families looking for a straightforward place to start can visit Heaven’s Harvest and use promo code Patriot for 15 percent off long-term storable food. The forecasts may yet soften, the strait may yet reopen, and we should pray they do. But hope is a fine thing to hold and a foolish thing to eat.
