Ross D. Franklin/AP Republicans have taken a 9-point national lead among Hispanic voters and more than doubled support in the black community to 27 percent, a Wall Street Journal survey shows.
The poll, conducted for the newspaper by Democrat firm Impact Research and GOP firm Fabrizio, Lee & Associates from March 2 to March 7, surveyed 1,500 registered voters and has a 2.5 percent margin of error.
It shows that the GOP has broken open a nearly double-digit lead with Hispanic voters since the Journal ’s last poll in November, leading Democrats by 9 points, whereas back in November the two parties were tied with the key, growing demographic.
“The survey also found Republicans making gains among minority groups. By 9 percentage points, Hispanic voters in the new poll said they would back a Republican candidate for Congress over a Democrat,” the Wall Street Journal’s Michael Bender wrote . “The two parties had been tied among Hispanic voters in the Journal ’s survey in November.”
Among black voters, Republicans have more than doubled their support since the November survey. Back then, the GOP had 12 percent support in the black community—a number that is consistent with national election results in recent years—but, now, in this survey, Republicans have a whopping 27 percent of black voter support.
“Democratic margins also eroded among Black voters, who favored a Democrat for Congress by 35 percentage points in the new survey, down from 56 points in November,” Bender wrote. “Support for a Republican candidate rose to 27% among Black voters, up from 12% in November.”
The findings could be detrimental politically long-term for Democrats if these trends stick, as Democrats generally need close to or greater than 90 percent of black voters and a much stronger performance among Hispanic voters to build a majority coalition and win elections. Republicans […]
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