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The Wall Street Journal put out a new poll , (paywall) that shows a massive swing of minority voters that will absolutely crater the Dems’ usual strategy of relying on the demographics of urban strongholds to tilt the ground in their favor.
National Review brought attention to this nugget from the study: The survey also found Republicans making gains among minority groups. By 9 percentage points, Hispanic voters in the new poll said they would back a Republican candidate for Congress over a Democrat. The two parties had been tied among Hispanic voters in the Journal’s survey in November. Democratic margins also eroded among Black voters, who favored a Democrat for Congress by 35 percentage points in the new survey, down from 56 points in November. Support for a Republican candidate rose to 27% among Black voters, up from 12% in November. — NationalReview Dems have been relying on the heavy support they have been getting from, for example, Black voters to tip the scales in their favor in districts that might otherwise be close.
But they can no longer count on those voting blocks as guaranteed votes. Change is in the air… In the 2020 election, it is estimated that Donald Trump won around 12 percent of the Black vote. Among Black male voters, his percentage was higher, perhaps around 18 percent. Both showings were significantly better for Trump than in 2016. And Trump’s 2016 showing was better than Republicans had been doing among Black voters. — Spectator Is it because Trump did not write off black voters as a lost cause like so many other Republicans before him had? Is it because he directly appealed […]
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