When the U.S. Census Bureau announced congressional reapportionment on Monday, there was good news and bad news for the state of New York.
The good news was that the Empire State had only lost one House seat and a corresponding Electoral College vote due to the 2020 census. This had long been expected; in fact, the question was whether it would lose one or two seats, as Election Data Services noted in December guidance on population estimates.
Having to pare down the state’s electoral map by one district — especially when Democrats control both houses of the state legislature and can redraw the map — is a much simpler task than eliminating two, particularly if Democrats want to be competitive in upstate swing districts.
The bad part wasn’t that New York lost a seat — it was how it lost the seat. Namely, by just 89 people.
Census says that if New York had had *89 more people* we wouldn’t have lost another House seat (assuming no other states changed).
— Philip Bump (@pbump) April 26, 2021
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Census says that if New York had had *89 more people* we wouldn't have lost another House seat (assuming no other states changed).
— Philip Bump (@pbump) April 26, 2021
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